Absolutely. This time I’m using actual Unicode mathematics throughout rather than LaTeX, and I’ve removed College Board and other website references from the article itself.
๐ฆ๐๐ง ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ & ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐๐ฒ ๐๐๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ ๐๐ผ ๐ฆ๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐, ๐ง๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ๐, ๐๐ผ๐๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด & ๐ง๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ธ๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐
Probability questions can look much harder than they really are.
A question may talk about students, games, cards, machines, surveys, products or randomly selected objects. But underneath the story, the mathematics usually comes down to one central idea:
⭐ ๐๐ผ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐๐ถ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐ผ๐๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฒ, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ต๐ผ๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ป๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ฐ๐ต ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐?
The biggest challenge is often not calculation.
It is identifying the correct group, especially when a question contains words such as:
๐ด๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐
๐ฎ๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ด
๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ผ
๐ฎ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ
๐๐ถ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐
Master those phrases and many SAT probability questions become much easier.
① ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ฐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ๐๐น๐ฎ
When all outcomes are equally likely:
๐ฃ(๐) = ๐๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐ข๐๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐ / ๐ง๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ข๐๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐
๐๐
๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
A box contains 8 red balls and 4 blue balls.
One ball is selected randomly.
Total balls:
๏ผ + ๏ผ = ๏ผ๏ผ
Favorable outcomes for blue:
๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ฏ๐น๐๐ฒ) = ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ/๏ผ
⭐ ๐ฆ๐๐ง ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐
Before calculating anything, ask:
“๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐บ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ?”
The wrong denominator is one of the easiest ways to lose a probability question.
② ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ป๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฎ๐ป ๐ฌ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๐๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ง๐ต๐ฎ๐ป ๐ญ
Every probability satisfies:
๏ผ ≤ ๐ฃ(๐) ≤ ๏ผ
For example:
๏ผ/๏ผ = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ๏ผ%
A probability of:
๏ผ
means the event is impossible.
A probability of:
๏ผ
means the event is certain.
Therefore, an answer such as:
๏ผ.๏ผ
cannot be a probability.
③ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ธ
The complement of an event means that the event does not happen.
๐ฃ(๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐) = ๏ผ − ๐ฃ(๐)
This is particularly useful when you see:
๐ฎ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ
๐ป๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ
๐ป๐ผ๐
๐ป๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ
๐ฑ๐ผ๐ฒ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐
๐๐
๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
A machine produces a defective item with probability ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ.
What is the probability that an item is not defective?
๏ผ − ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ = ๏ผ๏ผ%
④ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ “๐๐ก๐” ๐ฅ๐๐น๐ฒ
When two independent events must both occur:
๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐) = ๐ฃ(๐) × ๐ฃ(๐)
The symbol:
∩
means intersection, or the outcome where both events occur.
๐๐
๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
A fair coin is tossed twice.
What is the probability of getting heads both times?
๐ฃ(๐) = ๏ผ/๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐) = ๏ผ/๏ผ × ๏ผ/๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ
⭐ ๐ ๐ฒ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ธ
๐๐ก๐ → ๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ธ ๐ ๐จ๐๐ง๐๐ฃ๐๐ฌ
But remember: multiplication assumes the appropriate independence or conditional structure.
⑤ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ “๐ข๐ฅ” ๐ฅ๐๐น๐ฒ
The symbol:
∪
means union, or an outcome belonging to at least one of the events.
If two events cannot overlap:
๐ฃ(๐ ∪ ๐) = ๐ฃ(๐) + ๐ฃ(๐)
๐๐
๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
A number from ๏ผ through ๏ผ๏ผ is selected.
What is the probability of selecting ๏ผ or ๏ผ?
There are ๏ผ๏ผ possible numbers.
Favorable outcomes:
๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๏ผ ๐ผ๐ฟ ๏ผ) = ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ/๏ผ
⑥ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ข๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐น๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ
Sometimes two events overlap.
Then simply adding their probabilities counts the shared outcomes twice.
The general rule is:
๐ฃ(๐ ∪ ๐) = ๐ฃ(๐) + ๐ฃ(๐) − ๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐)
๐๐
๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
In a group of students:
• ๏ผ๏ผ play basketball
• ๏ผ๏ผ play soccer
• ๏ผ play both
How many play at least one of the two sports?
Start with:
๏ผ๏ผ + ๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ๏ผ
The ๏ผ students who play both were counted twice.
Subtract them:
๏ผ๏ผ − ๏ผ = ๏ผ๏ผ
So:
๏ผ๏ผ students
play at least one sport.
⭐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ
๐ข๐ฅ → ๐๐๐
If there is overlap:
๐๐๐ → ๐ฆ๐จ๐๐ง๐ฅ๐๐๐ง ๐ง๐๐ ๐ข๐ฉ๐๐ฅ๐๐๐ฃ
⑦ ๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐
Two events are independent when the occurrence of one does not change the probability of the other.
For independent events:
๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐) = ๐ฃ(๐) × ๐ฃ(๐)
๐๐
๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
A die is rolled and a coin is flipped.
The die result does not affect the coin result.
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๏ผ ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐)
= ๏ผ/๏ผ × ๏ผ/๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
⑧ ๐๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐
Sometimes the first event changes the probability of the second.
This commonly happens when objects are selected without replacement.
๐๐
๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
A bag contains:
๏ผ red balls
๏ผ blue balls
Two balls are selected without replacement.
Probability of getting two red balls:
First red:
๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
After removing one red ball:
๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ × ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
⭐ ๐๐ฟ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ผ๐ถ๐ป๐
๐ช๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ → ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฝ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ฟ๐ป๐ ๐๐ผ ๐ถ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐๐๐ฎ๐๐ฒ
๐ช๐ถ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐ → ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฝ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ๐
That difference can completely change the answer.
⑨ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐
Conditional probability is the probability of one event after another condition has already been established.
It is written:
๐ฃ(๐|๐)
Read it as:
“the probability of A given B.”
The fundamental formula is:
๐ฃ(๐|๐) = ๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐) / ๐ฃ(๐)
But for SAT questions, there is an even more useful way to remember it:
⭐ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐ข๐ก๐๐๐ง๐๐ข๐ก ๐๐๐๐ก๐๐๐ฆ ๐ง๐๐ ๐๐๐ก๐ข๐ ๐๐ก๐๐ง๐ข๐ฅ.
⑩ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ “๐ก๐ฒ๐ ๐ง๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐น” ๐ง๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ธ
Suppose a school has ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ students.
• ๏ผ๏ผ are juniors.
• ๏ผ๏ผ juniors play tennis.
A student is selected from the juniors.
What is the probability that the student plays tennis?
You are no longer choosing from all ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ students.
Your new group is:
๏ผ๏ผ juniors
Of those:
๏ผ๏ผ play tennis
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ป๐ถ๐|๐ท๐๐ป๐ถ๐ผ๐ฟ) = ๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ
= ๏ผ๏ผ%
๐จ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ
Do not calculate:
๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
That answers a different question.
The condition “junior” has already reduced your sample space.
⑪ ๐ง๐๐ผ-๐ช๐ฎ๐ ๐ง๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ๐
Two-way tables are extremely useful for conditional probability.
Consider:
| ๐ฆ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ | ๐ก๐ผ ๐ฆ๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ | ๐ง๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐น |
|---|
| ๐๐๐ป๐ถ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ | ๏ผ๏ผ | ๏ผ๏ผ | ๏ผ๏ผ |
| ๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ป๐ถ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ | ๏ผ๏ผ | ๏ผ๏ผ | ๏ผ๏ผ |
| ๐ง๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐น | ๏ผ๏ผ | ๏ผ๏ผ | ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ |
Question:
Given that a student is a junior, what is the probability that the student plays sports?
The condition is:
๐๐๐ป๐ถ๐ผ๐ฟ
Therefore, use the junior total:
๏ผ๏ผ
Favorable students:
๏ผ๏ผ
So:
๐ฃ(๐๐ฝ๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐|๐ท๐๐ป๐ถ๐ผ๐ฟ) = ๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ
= ๏ผ๏ผ%
๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฏ-๐ฆ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ธ
When you see:
“๐ด๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐…”
immediately ask:
“๐ช๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฝ ๐ฎ๐บ ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐น๐ผ๐ผ๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฎ๐?”
That group usually supplies the denominator.
⑫ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ช๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฃ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐ด๐ฒ๐
Suppose:
๏ผ๏ผ% of students own a laptop.
Among laptop owners:
๏ผ๏ผ% also own a tablet.
What percentage of all students own both?
Translate:
๐ฃ(๐) = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
and:
๐ฃ(๐ง|๐) = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐ง) = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ × ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ = ๏ผ๏ผ%
⑬ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ “๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ข๐ป๐ฒ” ๐ฆ๐ต๐ผ๐ฟ๐๐ฐ๐๐
“At least one” means:
one or more.
Instead of calculating every possibility separately, calculate the probability of none.
Then subtract from ๏ผ.
Suppose an event has probability:
๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
on each independent trial.
Over two trials:
Probability of failure each time:
๏ผ − ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
Probability of no success twice:
๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ × ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ฎ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ) = ๏ผ − ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ๏ผ%
⭐ ๐ ๐ฒ๐บ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ถ๐ฐ๐ธ
๐๐ง ๐๐๐๐ฆ๐ง ๐ข๐ก๐ = ๏ผ − ๐ก๐ข๐ก๐
⑭ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฎ๐บ ๐ง๐ต๐ถ๐ป๐ธ๐ถ๐ป๐ด
Tree diagrams are useful when a probability problem happens in stages.
A box contains:
๏ผ green balls
๏ผ yellow balls
Two balls are selected without replacement.
First green:
๏ผ/๏ผ
After one green is removed:
๏ผ green + ๏ผ yellow = ๏ผ balls
Second green:
๏ผ/๏ผ = ๏ผ/๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ด๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ๐ป)
= ๏ผ/๏ผ × ๏ผ/๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
๐ง ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ฎ๐ด๐ฟ๐ฎ๐บ ๐ฅ๐๐น๐ฒ
๐ ๐๐น๐๐ถ๐ฝ๐น๐ ๐ฎ๐น๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ฎ ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ต.
๐๐ฑ๐ฑ ๐๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฏ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฐ๐ต๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฑ๐๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐น๐.
⑮ ๐๐ผ๐๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฃ๐ผ๐๐๐ถ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ ๐ข๐๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐
Sometimes the fastest probability method is simply counting.
Suppose a code contains:
• one digit from ๏ผ–๏ผ
• one letter from ๏ผก–๏ผบ
There are:
๏ผ๏ผ × ๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
possible codes.
If one particular code is selected:
๐ฃ(๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฑ๐ฒ) = ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
⭐ ๐๐ผ๐๐ป๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ
If one stage has m possibilities and another has n possibilities:
๐ง๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐๐ถ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐ = m × n
⑯ ๐๐
๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐
Probability can also be estimated from actual results.
Suppose a spinner is used:
๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ times
It lands on blue:
๏ผ๏ผ times
Experimental probability:
๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐๐
๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ = ๏ผ๏ผ%
๐๐ผ๐ป'๐ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ณ๐๐๐ฒ
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐
comes from the mathematical structure.
๐๐
๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฟ๐ถ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐๐ฎ๐น ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐
comes from observed results.
⑰ ๐๐
๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฒ
Expected value describes the long-run average outcome.
Suppose a game gives:
• ₹๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ with probability ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
• ₹๏ผ with probability ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
Then:
๐๐
๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐ฉ๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฒ
= ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ × ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ + ๏ผ × ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐๐
๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐๐ฎ๐น๐๐ฒ = ₹๏ผ๏ผ
This does not mean every player receives ₹๏ผ๏ผ.
It means that over many plays, the average outcome approaches ₹๏ผ๏ผ per play.
⑱ ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ๐บ
A survey contains ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ people.
• ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ use App A
• ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ use App B
• ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ use both
A person is selected from the people who use App B.
What is the probability that the person also uses App A?
The phrase:
“from the people who use App B”
changes the sample space.
The new total is:
๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
The favorable group is:
๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐|๐) = ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ
= ๏ผ๏ผ%
❌ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ
You might calculate:
๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ๏ผ%
But that is the probability of selecting someone who uses both apps from the entire population.
The question does not ask that.
It asks for the probability among App B users.
⑲ ๐ฆ๐๐ง ๐ช๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฑ๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ ๐ฎ๐๐ต
“๐๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐…”
Think:
๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐
“๐๐ป๐ฑ”
Think:
๐๐ผ๐๐ต ๐บ๐๐๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐ฝ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป
Often:
๐ ๐๐น๐๐ถ๐ฝ๐น๐
“๐ข๐ฟ”
Think:
๐๐ถ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฟ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐๐ณ๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
Usually:
๐๐ฑ๐ฑ
But check for overlap.
“๐๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ”
Think:
๏ผ − ๐ป๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ
“๐ช๐ถ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐”
Think:
๐๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ฒ๐
“๐๐บ๐ผ๐ป๐ด…”
Think:
๐ก๐ฒ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ
⑳ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐๐ถ๐ด๐ด๐ฒ๐๐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ๐
❌ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ญ — ๐ช๐ฟ๐ผ๐ป๐ด ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ
If the question gives a condition, the denominator may no longer be the grand total.
❌ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ฎ — ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ด๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐ผ๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐น๐ฎ๐ฝ
If two groups share members:
๐ + ๐
may count some people twice.
❌ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ฏ — ๐๐ด๐ป๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ป๐ด “๐๐ถ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐”
The second probability may be different.
❌ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ฐ — ๐๐ผ๐ป๐ณ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด “๐ฎ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐” ๐๐ถ๐๐ต “๐ฒ๐
๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐น๐”
๐๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ
means one or more.
๐๐
๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐น๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ
means one and only one.
❌ ๐ง๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฝ ๐ฑ — ๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐น๐ฐ๐๐น๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ถ๐ฑ๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ต
A calculator can calculate the wrong expression perfectly.
๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ป ๐ณ๐ถ๐ฟ๐๐.
๐๐ฎ๐น๐ฐ๐๐น๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ.
㉑ ๐ข๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ฒ ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐
๐ข ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ญ
A box contains ๏ผ white counters and ๏ผ black counters.
One counter is selected randomly.
What is the probability of selecting a black counter?
Total:
๏ผ + ๏ผ = ๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ฏ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ธ) = ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ
✅ ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ: ๏ผ/๏ผ
๐ข ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฎ
A fair die is rolled twice.
What is the probability that both results are even?
Even results:
๏ผ,๏ผ,๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ฒ๐๐ฒ๐ป) = ๏ผ/๏ผ = ๏ผ/๏ผ
Both rolls even:
๏ผ/๏ผ × ๏ผ/๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ
✅ ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ: ๏ผ/๏ผ
๐ก ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฏ
A club has ๏ผ๏ผ members.
๏ผ๏ผ study mathematics.
๏ผ๏ผ of those mathematics students also study physics.
If a mathematics student is selected randomly, what is the probability that the student studies physics?
The condition says:
๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐ ๐๐๐๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐
Therefore:
๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ = ๏ผ๏ผ
Favorable:
๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ฝ๐ต๐๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐|๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ต) = ๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ
✅ ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ: ๏ผ/๏ผ
๐ก ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฐ
A box contains ๏ผ red counters and ๏ผ blue counters.
Two counters are selected without replacement.
What is the probability that both are red?
First red:
๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
Second red:
๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ × ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
✅ ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ: ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
๐ ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฑ
A survey of ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ students shows:
• ๏ผ๏ผ take mathematics
• ๏ผ๏ผ take physics
• ๏ผ๏ผ take both
A mathematics student is selected randomly.
What is the probability that the student also takes physics?
The condition is:
๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐
So:
๐๐ฒ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ = ๏ผ๏ผ
Both:
๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ฝ๐ต๐๐๐ถ๐ฐ๐|๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ต) = ๏ผ๏ผ/๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ/๏ผ
✅ ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ: ๏ผ/๏ผ
๐ด ๐ค๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ฒ
An event has a probability of ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ on each independent trial.
What is the probability that it occurs at least once in three trials?
Probability it does not occur:
๏ผ − ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ = ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
Probability it never occurs:
๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ × ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ × ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
๐ฃ(๐ฎ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ)
= ๏ผ − ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
= ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ
Therefore:
✅ ๐๐ป๐๐๐ฒ๐ฟ: ๏ผ๏ผ.๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ๏ผ%
㉒ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐จ๐น๐๐ถ๐บ๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฆ๐๐ง ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐๐ต๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฆ๐ต๐ฒ๐ฒ๐
๐๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ฐ ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐
๐ฃ(๐) = ๐๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ / ๐ง๐ผ๐๐ฎ๐น
๐๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐
๐ฃ(๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐) = ๏ผ − ๐ฃ(๐)
๐๐ป๐๐ฒ๐ฟ๐๐ฒ๐ฐ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐)
means A and B.
๐จ๐ป๐ถ๐ผ๐ป
๐ฃ(๐ ∪ ๐)
means A or B.
๐๐ผ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐
๐ฃ(๐|๐) = ๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐) / ๐ฃ(๐)
๐๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐ฒ๐ป๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ ๐๐๐ฒ๐ป๐๐
๐ฃ(๐ ∩ ๐) = ๐ฃ(๐) × ๐ฃ(๐)
๐๐ ๐๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ข๐ป๐ฒ
๐ฃ(๐ฎ๐ ๐น๐ฒ๐ฎ๐๐ ๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ) = ๏ผ − ๐ฃ(๐ป๐ผ๐ป๐ฒ)
๐ช๐ถ๐๐ต๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐บ๐ฎ๐ ๐ฐ๐ต๐ฎ๐ป๐ด๐ฒ.
๐ช๐ถ๐๐ต ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐ฝ๐น๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐ป๐
๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐น ๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฝ๐ผ๐๐ถ๐๐ถ๐ผ๐ป ๐ถ๐ ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐๐๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฑ.
๐ ๐ง๐ต๐ฒ ๐ข๐ป๐ฒ ๐๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ฎ ๐ฌ๐ผ๐ ๐ ๐๐๐ ๐ฅ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฒ๐บ๐ฏ๐ฒ๐ฟ
The most important probability skill is not memorizing a dozen formulas.
It is identifying the correct sample space.
If the question asks about everyone:
๐จ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ณ๐๐น๐น ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฝ.
If it asks about students who belong to a particular category:
๐จ๐๐ฒ ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฝ ๐ฎ๐ ๐๐ผ๐๐ฟ ๐ป๐ฒ๐ ๐๐ฎ๐บ๐ฝ๐น๐ฒ ๐๐ฝ๐ฎ๐ฐ๐ฒ.
If you see:
“๐ด๐ถ๐๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ต๐ฎ๐…”
stop and identify the condition.
Then think:
๐๐ข๐ก๐๐๐ง๐๐ข๐ก → ๐ก๐๐ช ๐๐ฅ๐ข๐จ๐ฃ → ๐ก๐๐ช ๐๐๐ก๐ข๐ ๐๐ก๐๐ง๐ข๐ฅ
That single habit can turn a confusing probability problem into a one-line calculation.
⭐ ๐๐๐ก๐๐ ๐ ๐๐ ๐ข๐ฅ๐ฌ ๐ง๐ฅ๐๐๐
๐ฃ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ถ๐น๐ถ๐๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ป๐ผ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ด๐๐ฒ๐๐๐ถ๐ป๐ด.
๐๐ ๐ถ๐ ๐ฎ๐ฏ๐ผ๐๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ ๐ด๐ฟ๐ผ๐๐ฝ, ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ ๐ผ๐๐๐ฐ๐ผ๐บ๐ฒ๐, ๐ฎ๐ป๐ฑ ๐ณ๐ผ๐ฟ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ด ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฟ๐ถ๐ด๐ต๐ ๐ฟ๐ฎ๐๐ถ๐ผ.
๐ช๐ต๐ฒ๐ป ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ฐ๐ฎ๐ป ๐ณ๐ถ๐ป๐ฑ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฐ๐ผ๐ฟ๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฐ๐ ๐ฑ๐ฒ๐ป๐ผ๐บ๐ถ๐ป๐ฎ๐๐ผ๐ฟ, ๐๐ผ๐ ๐ต๐ฎ๐๐ฒ ๐ฎ๐น๐ฟ๐ฒ๐ฎ๐ฑ๐ ๐๐ผ๐น๐๐ฒ๐ฑ ๐บ๐๐ฐ๐ต ๐ผ๐ณ ๐๐ต๐ฒ ๐ฝ๐ฟ๐ผ๐ฏ๐น๐ฒ๐บ.
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ALGEBRA
SO;VING LINEAR EQUATIONS [PART 1]
LINEAR EQUATIONS [PART 1]
SOLVING LINEAR EQUATIONS [PART II]
LINEAR EQUATIONS [PART II]
SYSTEM OF EQUATIONS [ PART I ]
SAT Systems of Equations: Part 2 — Hard Questions, Word Problems, Graphs, Parameters & SAT Tricks
SAT system of equations 2
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QUADRATIC EQUATIONS [PART I]
QUADRATIC EQUATIONS [PART II]
QUADRATIC EQUATIONS [PART II]
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PERCENTAGES [part 1]
PERCENTAGE INCREASE AND DECREASE
PERCENTAGES [part 2]
SUCCESSIVE PERCENTAGES DISCOUNT PROFIT LOSS
PERCENTAGES [part3]
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